Saint John - Friday

A very early start - up at 4am, subway to JFK and a plane to Saint Thomas in the US Virgin Islands - about a 4 hour flight. A share-taxi across the island and then a ferry to Saint John.

Saint John is an island about the same size as Manhattan (approx 20 miles) but with a population of just over 4,000 (compared to Manhattan with about 1.6 million). It is a US dependancy - it uses US dollars and no passport is needed for Americans to travel to it - but residents cannot vote for President and elect a non-voting member to Congress. It is in the middle of the Caribbean - past Cuba, past the Dominican Republic and next to the British Virgin Islands. Very beautiful, with warm water, lots of great beaches and about 2/3 of it is National Park.

Staying at Gallows Point in a suite right on the beach. Because it is hurricane season (a minor detail easily ignored) prices are reasonable. Furnishings are a bit dated, but the location is incredible and it is very very comfortable.

We have been supertouristing for a couple of weeks now - so a few days of rest and relaxation is very welcome. This afternoon swam in the (very) warm ocean and read in a hammock.

Obama backpedalling but it won't be enough

I stand by my previous post.

Obama is trying (see this Washington Post article), but Reverend Wright's comments cannot successfully be repudiated by Obama. He is simply too linked in to the man who officiated at his wedding and baptised his children. How can Obama survive the inevitable Republican attack?

If Wright is "presenting a world view that contradicts who I am and what I stand for", as Obama said yesterday, then how did Obama not know this given that he has known Wright for 20 years and has attended his church since 1992!

If true, what does it say about Obama's judgment?
If untrue, what does it say about his integrity?

See extracts below:

Sen. Barack Obama today strongly criticized the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, his former pastor, saying that Wright's comments about the United States in recent days have been "destructive" and "outrageous."

...

"I am outraged by the comments that were made and saddened over the spectacle that we saw yesterday," Obama told reporters at a news conference Tuesday.

His strong words come just six weeks after Obama delivered a sweeping speech on race in which he sharply condemned Wright's remarks but did not leave the church or repudiate the minister himself, who he said was like a family member. After weeks of staying out of the public eye while critics lambasted his sermons, the former pastor of Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago made three public appearances in four days to defend himself.

On Monday, Wright criticized the U.S. government as imperialist and stood by his suggestion that the United States invented the HIV virus as a means of genocide against minorities. "Based on this Tuskegee experiment and based on what has happened to Africans in this country, I believe our government is capable of doing anything," he said.

And perhaps even worse for Obama, Wright suggested that the church congregant secretly concurs.

"If Senator Obama did not say what he said, he would never get elected," Wright said. "Politicians say what they say and do what they do based on electability, based on sound bites, based on polls."

Obama stated flatly that he doesn't share the views of the man who officiated at his wedding, baptized his two daughters and been his pastor for 20 years. The title of Obama's second book, "The Audacity of Hope," came from a Wright sermon.

"What became clear to me is that he was presenting a world view that contradicts who I am and what I stand for," Obama said. "And what I think particularly angered me was his suggestion somehow that my previous denunciation of his remarks were somehow political posturing. Anybody who knows me and anybody who knows what I'm about knows that I am about trying to bridge gaps and I see the commonality in all people."

...

"I gave him the benefit of the doubt in my speech in Philadelphia explaining that he's done enormous good. ... But when he states and then amplifies such ridiculous propositions as the U.S. government somehow being involved in AIDS. ... There are no excuses. They offended me. They rightly offend all Americans and they should be denounced."

While Obama said he remains a member of the church "obviously this has put a strain on that relationship.

"There wasn't anything constructive out of yesterday," said Obama. "All it was was a bunch of rants that aren't grounded in truth."

I'm calling it: Clinton over Obama

Reverend Jeremiah Wright, Senator Barack Obama's long-time minister, has spoken at the National Press Club in Washington, DC. His comments included:

You cannot do terrorism on other people and expect it never to come back on you. Those are biblical principles, not Jeremiah Wright bombastic, divisive principles.

...

MODERATOR: What is your motivation for characterizing Senator Obama's response to you as, quote, "what a politician had to say"? What do you mean by that?

REVEREND WRIGHT: What I mean is what several of my white friends and several of my white, Jewish friends have written me and said to me. They've said, "You're a Christian. You understand forgiveness. We both know that, if Senator Obama did not say what he said, he would never get elected."

Politicians say what they say and do what they do based on electability, based on sound bites, based on polls, Huffington, whoever's doing the polls. Preachers say what they say because they're pastors. They have a different person to whom they're accountable.

...

MODERATOR: In your sermon, you said the government lied about inventing the HIV virus as a means of genocide against people of color. So I ask you: Do you honestly believe your statement and those words?

REVEREND WRIGHT: Have you read Horowitz's book, "Emerging Viruses: AIDS and Ebola," whoever wrote that question? Have you read "Medical Apartheid"? You've read it?

(UNKNOWN): Do you honestly believe that (OFF-MIKE)

REVEREND WRIGHT: Oh, are you -- is that one of the reporters?

MODERATOR: No questions...

(CROSSTALK)

REVEREND WRIGHT: No questions from the floor. I read different things. As I said to my members, if you haven't read things, then you can't -- based on this Tuskegee experiment and based on what has happened to Africans in this country, I believe our government is capable of doing anything.

...

See a transcript of his speech here. I'm not sure I even excerpted the good bits - for example the questionable comments re Israel. There's strong stuff in there.

As I see it, this will be the death of Obama's candidacy. Primarily because it makes him unelectable at the general election. A strongly-worded denunciation of Wright by Obama is not credible (and in fact, Obama gained substantial praise for the way he dealt with the last eruption) and at some stage the chickens will come home to roost.

These remarks, combined with what has been said before and what appears likely to come, are just too perfectly suited to attack ads. Obama's credibility with middle America (as opposed to the people Australia calls 'chardonnay socialists') cannot survive being linked to this stuff.